Mean-revert · BTC/ETH basket

Strategy v2.3 · 4h bars · last rebalance 09:00 UTC

PAPER · simulated
Equity
$248,910
+0.52% today
30-day equity trend: rising from $241,000 to $248,910.
Today's P&L
+$1,284.50
+$847.70 unrealized · +$436.80 realized
Intraday P&L trend: up from zero with a dip around 11:40 UTC, now positive.
Open positions
6
gross $118.6k · 48% of equity
Open position count over the day: between 3 and 7, currently 6.
Win rate (30d)
58.4%
212 of 363 trades
30-day win rate trend: steady rise from 54% to 58.4%.
Max drawdown (30d)
−8.7%
peak-to-trough, 12 Aug
Drawdown trend: two dips, the deeper one on 12 August at minus 8.7%, partly recovered since.

Open positions

Marks tick every 1.5 s (simulated)
SymbolSideQtyEntryMarkUnrealized P&LAgeAction
BTC-PERPSHORT0.4261,940.061,812.5+$53.5522m
ETH-PERPLONG9.503,084.203,102.10+$170.0522m
SOL-PERPLONG210142.15144.02+$392.701d 4h
AVAX-PERPSHORT38027.8427.31+$201.4019h
LINK-PERPLONG90014.6214.38−$216.006h 40m
DOGE-PERPSHORT60,0000.16420.1601+$246.005h 02m

Risk limits

Daily loss limit 62% used. Intraday low was −$2,170 against a −$3,500 cap; the bot halves position size at 80%.
Daily loss−$2,170 / −$3,500
Gross exposure$118.6k / $248.9k
Leverage0.48× / 3×

Limits are enforced by the risk engine before every order; the copilot can only stage changes.

ETH-PERP book

spread 0.5 · 1.6 bp
BidSize
AskSize

Recent trades

    Strategy

    mean-revert v2.3
    • ENTER long ETH / short BTC
      z = −2.14 on the 4h spread; sized at 11.9% of equity.
      13:40 UTC
    • Auto-hedge lag — LINK-PERP
      Band break; hedge filled one bar late, leg now −$216 unrealized.
      11:40 UTC
    • Rebalance
      Basket weights refreshed; DOGE short opened at 0.1642.
      09:00 UTC
    • EXIT ARB / OP pair
      z reverted to −0.4; +$436.80 realized.
      08:15 UTC
    48
    2.0
    0.5
    1.84
    Sharpe
    31.2%
    CAGR
    −11.3%
    Max DD
    12,884
    Trades
    In-sample vs out-of-sample70% / 30%

    2022-01 → 2026-06, 4h bars, 4 bp fees + slippage. OOS Sharpe 1.41.

    CopilotAdvisory only
    How exposed am I to ETH right now, and should I add to the long?
    You · 14:01
    Thought for 6 seconds
    Need live positions before answering — call get_positions, then net the ETH delta including SOL/LINK beta. The spread z-score is inside the entry band, so the strategy would not add.
    get_positionsDone · 42 ms
    filter: "ETH*", include: ["unrealized", "beta"]
    ETH-PERP LONG 9.5 @ 3,084.20 → +$170.05 · net ETH delta ≈ $29.5k (11.9% of equity) · beta-adjusted basket delta ≈ $41.2k
    place_orderAwaiting approval
    symbol: "ETH-PERP", side: "sell", type: "stop", qty: 9.5, trigger: 3041.00, reduce_only: true

    You are 11.9% of equity net long ETH — inside the 15% single-name cap1. The pair z-score is −1.3, short of the −2.0 entry threshold2, so the strategy would not add here. I have staged a reduce-only stop at 3,041 (−1.4%) — approve it in the tool card above.

    1. Risk limits · single-name cap 15%
    2. Strategy parameters · z-entry 2.0
    Copilot · cited · paper mode
    Paper mode · canned replies

    Template with simulated market data. No backend, no exchange connection, no real orders — nothing on this page is financial advice.

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